The Daily Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, second quarter 2023

If the opposite situation occurs—that is, if the amount that domestic consumers spend on foreign products is greater than the total sum of what domestic producers are able to sell to foreign consumers—it is called a trade deficit. Consequently, the household saving rate reached 5.1% in the third quarter of 2023, lexatrade review up from 4.7% in the second quarter. The household saving rate is aggregated across all income brackets; in general, saving rates are greater in higher income brackets. Business spending on machinery and equipment fell 3.8% in the third quarter of 2023, following a 4.4% increase in the second quarter.

  1. GDP figures are reported in the United States on a monthly basis by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) both in nominal as well as real, or inflation-adjusted, terms.
  2. As part of the Canadian Emergency Business Account, borrowers were entitled to have a portion of their loan forgiven if they repaid the balance by the specified deadline.
  3. Nominal GDP is evaluated in either the local currency or U.S. dollars at currency market exchange rates to compare countries’ GDPs in purely financial terms.
  4. And China, home to much of the world’s manufacturing, is imposing sweeping lockdowns to keep the coronavirus from spreading.
  5. Per capita investment growth in developing economies between 2023 and 2024 is expected to average only 3.7%, just over half the rate of the previous two decades.

As well, a continued decline in energy prices (-6.0%) and in the volume of energy exports (-2.5%) also put downward pressure on the incomes of energy-related industries. Non-financial corporations were in a net lending position throughout 2021 as the economy rebounded. Some industries, such as those engaged in energy-related activities, also benefited from rising prices. Economists use a process that adjusts for inflation to arrive at an economy’s real GDP.

Related Sustainable Development Goals

The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. This report contains economic analysis and views, including about future economic and financial markets performance. These are based on certain assumptions and other factors, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties.

White House plays down first-quarter growth decline.

The report finds that governments in these countries often adopt fiscal policies that intensify booms and busts. When increases in commodity prices boost growth by 1 percentage point, for example, governments increase spending in ways that boost growth by an additional 0.2 percentage point. In general, in good times, fiscal policy tends to overheat the economy. This “procyclicality” is 30 percent stronger in commodity-exporting developing economies than it is in other developing economies. Fiscal policies also tend to be 40 percent more volatile in these economies than in other developing economies. The GDP implicit price index, which reflects the overall price of domestically produced goods and services, increased 1.6% in the fourth quarter.

Monetary Policy Report – October 2023

GDP per capita can be stated in nominal, real (inflation-adjusted), or purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. Compensation of employees increased by 1.3% in the third quarter, led by higher property income (+2.9%). Meanwhile, government transfers to households grew by 0.7%, representing the first quarterly increase since the fourth quarter of 2022. Imports of goods and services edged down 0.2% in the third quarter, following a 1.1% increase in the second quarter. The decrease in imports was led by declines in clothing, footwear and textile products, transportation services, and electronic and electrical equipment and parts. These declines were moderated by increased imports of passenger cars and light trucks as well as travel services.

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Gross Domestic Product – GDP for short – can be thought of as an overall grade on the economic report card of a country or region. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is responsible for calculating the GDP figure for the UK. Naturally it collects a lot of data from a lot of different sources to do this. It surveys tens of thousands of UK firms working in manufacturing, services, retail and construction, as well as using a wealth of administrative data.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) was nearly unchanged in the second quarter, following a 0.6% rise in the first quarter. The slowdown was attributable to continued declines in housing investment, smaller inventory accumulation, https://forex-review.net/ as well as slower international exports and household spending. Increased business investment in engineering structures and higher government spending were among the few components that contributed to growth.

The implicit price of household final consumption rose 0.8% in the third quarter of 2023, following a 0.9% increase in the second quarter. The price index for household final consumption expenditure (excluding food and energy) rose 0.5% in the third quarter, the smallest increase since the first quarter of 2021. After five consecutive quarterly declines, housing investment increased 2.0% in the third quarter of 2023. An increase in new construction (+6.5%) was partly offset by a decline in ownership transfer costs (-4.3%), which represents resale activity.

Gross domestic product and final domestic demand

But the data reflect a mix of economic factors, not all of them negative. The ballooning trade deficit, meanwhile, took more than three percentage points away from G.D.P. growth in the first quarter. Imports, which are subtracted from gross domestic product because they are produced abroad, have soared in recent months as U.S. consumers have kept spending. But exports, which add to G.D.P., have lagged in part because of weaker economic growth abroad. Low-income and vulnerable economies are facing increasing balance-of-payments pressures and debt sustainability risks. GDP measures the monetary value of goods and services produced in a country.

Housing investment continues to decline

Average wages rose along with increased economic activity and employers’ efforts to attract qualified workers by offering higher salaries. Significant wage growth was recorded throughout the economy, including in professional and personal services, trade, manufacturing, health care and social assistance and construction industries. Export volumes declined 2.4% in the first quarter, following two consecutive quarterly increases. Decreased international trade of energy products contributed to overall declines in both exports (-2.4%) and imports (-0.7%). Those trade flows depressed America’s economic growth figures for the first quarter, since the trade deficit is subtracted from the nation’s gross domestic product. Real gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, declined 0.4 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 1.7 percent in the fourth quarter of last year.

Households increased their payments to government for both personal income taxes and social insurance plan contributions, but this only slightly dampened the growth in disposable income, which increased $11.9 billion over the quarter. In about a quarter of all developing countries, annual inflation is projected to exceed 10 per cent in 2024, the report highlights. Since January 2021, consumer prices in developing economies have increased by a cumulative 21.1 per cent, significantly eroding the economic gains made following the COVID-19 recovery. Amid supply-side disruptions, conflicts and extreme weather events, local food price inflation remained high in many developing economies, disproportionately affecting the poorest households. The latest Global Economic Prospects also identifies what two-thirds of developing countries—commodity exporters specifically—can do to avoid boom-and-bust cycles.

Net operating surplus rose 5.0% in the fourth quarter, extending a string of consecutive growth since the second quarter of 2020, when the initial effects of the pandemic constrained activity. Continued easing of pandemic-related restrictions, despite the arrival of the Omicron variant late in the quarter, helped boost nominal household consumption by 1.3%. With less disposable income and higher expenditures, households were left with smaller net savings—$23.0 billion at quarterly rates—a level that, despite the notable decrease, was more than double that of the last quarter of 2019.

Finally, GDP can be measured based on the value of the goods and services produced (the production or output approach). Because economic output requires expenditure and is, in turn, consumed, these three methods for computing GDP should all arrive at the same value. Real GDP, in contrast, is adjusted for inflation, meaning it factors out changes in price levels to measure changes in actual output. Policymakers and financial markets focus primarily on real GDP because inflation-fueled gains aren’t an economic benefit. GDP figures are reported in the United States on a monthly basis by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) both in nominal as well as real, or inflation-adjusted, terms. One month after the end of each quarter, the BEA releases an advance estimate of the previous quarter’s GDP.

Some observed, for example, a tendency to accept GDP as an absolute indicator of a nation’s failure or success, despite its failure to account for health, happiness, (in)equality, and other constituent factors of public welfare. In other words, these critics drew attention to a distinction between economic progress and social progress. Just as stocks in different sectors trade at widely divergent price-to-sales ratios, different nations trade at market-cap-to-GDP ratios that are literally all over the map. For example, according to the World Bank, the U.S. had a market-cap-to-GDP ratio of 193.3% for 2020, while China had a ratio of just over 83.2% and Hong Kong had a ratio of 1,777.2%. In addition, depreciation, which is a reserve that businesses set aside to account for the replacement of equipment that tends to wear down with use, is also added to the national income.

Business investment is a critical component of GDP since it increases the productive capacity of an economy and boosts employment levels. Per-capita GDP is often analyzed alongside more traditional measures of GDP. Economists use this metric for insight into their own country’s domestic productivity and the productivity of other countries.